‘the Power Law’ Offers Key Takeaways on the History of Venture Capital

The area is home to a cluster of elite universities and near military research centers, but neither are solely responsible for the region’s ascent, he writes.

Donald Knuth, a Stanford University professor, discusses his new method of designing typefaces by computer with his friend Herman Zaph, one of the world's leading type designers.

Donald Knuth, a Stanford University professor, discusses his new method of designing typefaces by computer with his friend Hermann Zapf, one of the world’s leading type designers.

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The Valley’s secret sauce, he writes, is a combination of a counterculture and a “frank lust for riches.”

During a Bay Area rock concert, two people share what appears to be a marijuana joint.

Two people share what appears to be a marijuana joint during a Bay Area rock concert.

Steven Clevenger/Corbis via Getty Images


2. The birth of venture capital in 1957 starts with eight young scientists at Stanford who escaped a manager they reviled to form their own semiconductor company.

William Shockley was an American physicist and inventor.

William Shockley, the father of the semiconductor, employed the young researchers at his research lab on the Stanford campus. “I don’t think ‘tyrant’ begins to encapsulate Shockley,” one of the scientists later said.

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The group’s defection was made possible by a 30-year-old stockbroker named Arthur Rock, who helped them raise over $1.4 million for their yet unproven venture.

Employees of Fairchild Semiconductor are shown at a manufacturing plant in 1970.

Employees of Fairchild Semiconductor at a manufacturing plant in 1970.

Steve Larson/The Denver Post via Getty Images


“The idea was to back technologists who were too dicey and penurious to get a conventional bank loan but who promised the chance of a resounding payoff to investors with a taste for audacious invention,” Mallaby writes. That bet paid off for Rock and other investors.

A technician examines a board of micro chips in Santa Clara, California, in 1978.

A technician examines a board of microchips in Santa Clara, California, in 1978.

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The startup, Fairchild Semiconductor, took off and sold to its main backer for $3 million. The founders and Rock’s firm pocketed a 600x return on their investment.

Robert Noyce, one of the eight researchers who started Fairchild Semiconductor, poses for a photo in his office in 1966.

Robert Noyce, one of the eight researchers who started Fairchild Semiconductor, poses for a photo in his office in 1966.

Ted Streshinsky/Getty Images


Their major exit showed how venture capital could nourish talent to form big, successful companies.

Early Intel employees and founders Andy Grove (left), Robert Noyce (center), and Gordon Moore pose for a photo in 1978.

Two of the founders of Fairchild Semiconductor, Robert Noyce (center) and Gordon Moore (right), went on to raise money for a new company, called Intel, from Arthur Rock’s venture firm. They pose for a photo with early Intel employee Andy Grove (left) in 1978.

Intel


3. The venture industry stands apart from other forms of institutional finance because of its heavy-handed involvement in the business, Mallaby writes.

Reunited after almost 12 years, Silicon Valley technology pioneers Nolan Bushnell (right) and Steve Wozniak are shown during a press conference at which they announced plans for Bushnell's Axlon, Inc. to acquire Wozniak's CL9, Inc. in a stock swap.

Silicon Valley technology pioneers Steve Wozniak (left) and Nolan Bushnell were early beneficiaries of this new style of venture investing.

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One of the chief pioneers of this new style was Don Valentine, the founder of Sequoia Capital. He backed entrepreneurs who were brilliant but undisciplined.

Don Valentine, the founder of Sequoia Capital, poses for a photo in his office.

Don Valentine, the founder of Sequoia Capital, poses for a photo in his office in 1972.

Sequoia Capital



Before his investment, the video-game startup Atari held business meetings in a hot tub. Valentine rolled up his sleeves and wrote the firm’s business plan, found distributors, and later, orchestrated a $28 million sale.

Nolan Bushnell, an engineer and entrepreneur who founded Atari, and Lori McKinney pose for a photo in a hot tub in 1976.

Nolan Bushnell, an engineer and entrepreneur who founded Atari, and Lori McKinney pose for a photo in a hot tub in 1976.

Barney Peterson/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


“Rather than merely identifying entrepreneurs and monitoring them, as Rock had done, the new venture capitalists actively shaped them,” Mallaby writes.

The Atari computer system sits on the shelves at a store in Sunnyvale, California, in 1983.

The Atari computer system sits on store shelves in Sunnyvale, California, in 1983.

Bettmann/Getty Images


4. The success of a venture fund depends on a few startups hitting home runs even while most fail, a statistics-phenomenon known as the “power law.”

The leaders and namesakes of venture capital firm Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers meet in a high rise conference room in San Francisco in 1981.

The leaders and namesakes of the venture-capital firm Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers meet in a high-rise conference room in San Francisco in 1981.

Roger Ressmeyer/Getty Images


From 1972 to 1984, Kleiner Perkins cut 14 deals out of its first fund, and pocketed a profit of $208 million. (That’s about $562 million in today’s dollars, adjusting for inflation.)

Robert Swanson (left) was a venture capitalist who cofounded the biotechnology giant Genentech in 1976.

Robert Swanson (left) was a venture capitalist who cofounded the biotechnology giant Genentech. In 1976, Kleiner Perkins purchased a 25% stake in the company for a mere $100,000.

Roger Ressmeyer/VCG via Getty Images


Fully 95% of its profit came from just two investments: computer-maker Tandem and biotech firm Genentech.

An employee of Tandem Computers works out of a Silicon Valley factory in 1981.

An employee of Tandem Computers works out of a Silicon Valley factory in 1981.

Francois Lochon/Getty Images


In the 1960s, early venture firms structured themselves as “limited partnerships” for lower tax rates. The format also protected investing partners from lawsuits.

The leaders and namesakes of venture capitalist firm Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers meet in a high rise conference room in San Francisco in 1981.

The leaders and namesakes of venture-capital firm Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers meet in a high-rise conference room in San Francisco in 1981.

Roger Ressmeyer/Getty Images


They raised money from universities and endowments, which had greater incentive to invest in venture funds as legislators slashed the capital-gains tax in the 1970s.

Harvard University President Derek C. Bok addresses a crowd of about 200 people at an open student meeting, sponsored by the Harvard-Radcliffee Student Assembly, at the university's Science Center in Cambridge in 1979.

The president of Harvard University, which was an early investor in Sequoia Capital, addresses a crowd of about 200 people at an open student meeting in 1979.

Ed Jenner/The Boston Globe via Getty Images


“No other country was so friendly to the venture industry,” Mallaby writes.

President Ronald Reagan arrives at the United States Department of the Treasury for a luncheon in 1981.

President Ronald Reagan arrives at the US Department of the Treasury for a luncheon in 1981. Shortly after he took office, the venture capitalist Bill Draper lobbied a close Reagan adviser to cut the capital-gains tax for a second time in three years.

Bettmann/Getty Images


6. The funding of Apple showed the power of networks.

A young Steve Jobs poses for a photo for the San Francisco Chronicle.

A young Steve Jobs poses for a photo for the San Francisco Chronicle.

Steve Ringman/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


The stars of venture capital first passed on investing in Apple, but rich individuals known as “angel investors” took a bite. They provided the founders with cash, connections, and importantly, credibility, Mallaby says.

Steve Jobs (left), John Sculley (center), and Steve Wozniak unveil the new Apple II computer in San Francisco in 1984.

Steve Jobs (left), John Sculley (center), and Steve Wozniak unveil the new Apple II computer in San Francisco in 1984.

Sal Veder/AP


“If Apple was attracting funding, and if its reputation was soaring thanks to well-connected backers, its chances of hiring the best people and securing the best distribution channels were improving, too,” he writes.

An Apple store.

An Apple store.

Spencer Platt/Getty Images


7. The founding of Accel marked the arrival of a new venture style: the so-called prepared mind.

Attendees walk the floor at the Internet World trade show in Chicago in 1997.

Attendees walk the floor at the Internet World trade show in Chicago in 1997.

Charles Bennett/AP


Accel’s style helped it to avoid fads and back winners. The first five funds multiplied capital 8x on average.

Arthur Patterson, who founded Accel with Jim Swartz, poses for a photo in his office.

Arthur Patterson, a cofounder of Accel, who led the firm’s investment in UUNET, poses for a photo in his office.

Accel


8. Sometimes the investor who can write the biggest check can choose the winner in a hot market.

Masayoshi Son

SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son is seen at the company headquarters in Tokyo in 1990.

The Asahi Shimbun/Getty Images


In 1996, Yahoo was blowing through its venture funding on marketing in order to topple its rival search engines. Just as it was about to go public, Masayoshi Son, a self-made billionaire, proposed he invest a full $100 million.

David Filo, the 30-year-old cofounder of Yahoo, curls up to sleep under his desk after working all night, a regular occurrence, in San Francisco in 1996.

David Filo, the 30-year-old cofounder of Yahoo, curls up to sleep under his desk after working all night, a regular occurrence, in Sunnyvale, California, in 1996.

Meri Simon//The Mercury News via Getty Images


The Yahoo founders declined, telling Son they could raise tens of millions on the public markets through an IPO.

David Filo, one of the founders of Yahoo, pitches a ball to employee Eric Ng as Joonsuk Bae handles the catching chores. The three were taking a break at around midnight at Yahoo's offices in Sunnyvale, California, in 1996.

David Filo, one of the founders of Yahoo, pitches a ball to an employee around midnight at Yahoo’s offices in Sunnyvale, California, in 1996.

Meri Simon/The Mercury News via Getty Images


Undeterred, Son said if they didn’t let him invest, he would invest in Yahoo’s rivals and effectively destroy them. The Yahoo founders agreed to the deal, under the condition that their company would still go public.

Yahoo founders David Filo (left) and Jerry Yang pose for a photo in their office in Santa Clara, California, in 1999.

Yahoo founders David Filo (left) and Jerry Yang pose for a photo in their office in Santa Clara, California, in 1999.

Eric Sander/Getty Images


“Son’s threat was a revelation,” Mallaby writes. “There could only be one victor in the race to be the go-to internet guide, so the investor who could write a $100 million check could choose who won the competition.”

Masayoshi Son (center) and Yahoo Japan President Masahiro Inoue (left) clinch their fists with Japanese actress Aya Ueto at a press conference in Tokyo in 2005.

Masayoshi Son (center) and Yahoo Japan president Masahiro Inoue (left) clinch their fists with Japanese actress Aya Ueto at a press conference in Tokyo in 2005.

Yoshikazu Tsuno/AFP via Getty Images


9. Google raised its first $1 million without ever speaking to a venture capitalist, highlighting a small but serious force in the Valley: angel investors.

Larry Page (left) and Sergey Brin pose for a photo inside a server room at Google's offices in Mountain View, California, in 2003.

Larry Page (left) and Sergey Brin pose for a photo inside a server room at Google’s offices in Mountain View, California, in 2003.

Kim Kulish/Corbis via Getty Images


In the 1990s, a spree of companies going public created many new multimillionaires, some of whom wished to put their wealth and experience to use at startups.

Ron Conway, founder and managing partner of SV Angel, wearing yellow jacket at a table with fireplace in background.

Ron Conway was an early angel investor in Google.

Michael Macor/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


Google’s founders raised a first round of capital “without giving away more than a tenth of their equity, and without signing up for the performance targets and oversight on which venture capitalists insisted.”

Larry Page (left) and Sergey Brin take a stroll on Google's campus in Mountain View, California, in 2003.

Larry Page (left) and Sergey Brin take a stroll on Google’s campus in Mountain View, California, in 2003.

Kim Kulish/Getty Images


Feeling enlightened, other entrepreneurs “increasingly turned to angels for their early capital,” Mallaby writes.

Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg smiles for a photo at Facebook's offices in Palo Alto, California, in 2014.

Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg smiles for a photo at Facebook’s offices in Palo Alto, California, in 2014. Zuckerberg took a page from Google’s playbook by raising early funds from angel investors rather than venture capitalists.

Paul Sakuma/AP


10. Peter Thiel put his stamp on the venture industry with his detached, hands-off investing style.

PayPal cofounder Peter Thiel speaks during a discussion at the National Press Club in Washington, DC, in 2011.

PayPal cofounder Peter Thiel speaks during a discussion at the National Press Club in Washington, DC, in 2011.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images


After he left PayPal, Thiel banded with other alumni to create Founders Fund, a venture firm that promised to treat entrepreneurs with respect and autonomy.

peter thiel elon musk early paypal

Peter Thiel (left) and Elon Musk pose for a photo in 1999.

AP


It vowed to keep founders in control of their own companies, and took a hard stance against providing mentorship to entrepreneurs, believing that didn’t make much difference in the likelihood of success.

Elon Musk, the founder of SpaceX, stands beside a rocket in Los Angeles in 2004.

Elon Musk, the founder of SpaceX, stands beside a rocket in Los Angeles in 2004. He raised funding from Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund.

Paul Harris/Getty Images


11. Today, there’s a venture firm to suit every founder.

Employees of Playground Global pose for a photo inside the firm's offices in Palo Alto, California.

Peter Barrett of Playground Global poses for a photo inside the firm’s offices in Palo Alto, California, in 2022.

Playground Global


Benchmark’s founders believed that by staying small, they could carefully evaluate each deal and “descend into the trenches with the entrepreneurs.”

Benchmark Capital cofounder Andrew Rachleff and his wife Debra Rachleff pose for a photo at their home in 2008.

Benchmark Capital cofounder Andy Rachleff and his wife, Debra, pose for a photo at their home in 2008.

Lea Suzuki/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


Founded by two entrepreneurs, Andreessen Horowitz offered coaching and support services for their companies, promising them a wealth of connections.

Marc Andreessen, the former vice president of technology at Mosaic, and Jim Clark, then chairman of Mosiac and the company's founder, pose for a photo at the Monaco Yacht Show on October 27, 1994.

Marc Andreessen (left) is photographed with internet pioneer Jim Clark in 1994.

Lea Suzuki/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


There is no right way to run a venture firm, and as firms multiply, their methods increasingly overlap.

John Doerr, a veteran partner of Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield and Byers, makes an announcement of the firm's plan to double its fund to $200 million for applications for Apple products in Palo Alto, California, in 2010.

John Doerr, chairman of Kleiner Perkins, announces the firm’s plan to double its fund to $200 million for applications for Apple products in Palo Alto, California, in 2010.

Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP


They do have one thing in common …

roelof botha sequoia

Roelof Botha, a longtime partner at Sequoia Capital, speaks at TechCrunch Disrupt.

Brian Ach/Getty Images


“The best venture capitalists consciously create their luck,” Mallaby writes. “They work systematically to boost the odds that serendipity will strike repeatedly.”

Arthur Rock (left), one of the founding fathers of venture capital, speaks with a professor of Stanford Law School after a luncheon in Stanford, California, in 2017.

Arthur Rock (left), one of the founding fathers of venture capital, speaks with a professor at Stanford Law School after a luncheon in Stanford, California, in 2017.

Lea Suzuki/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images


Mallaby devoted four years to researching “The Power Law,” which is based some 300 interviews and countless pages of emails, financial filings, and internal documents.

Sebastian Mallaby is the author of "The Power Law."

Sebastian Mallaby is the author of “The Power Law.”

David Levenson


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